Cliff # 1

About cliffeconomics

This blog offers original economic thought and policy recommendations on Germany, the euro area, and whatever cliff has on his mind.

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Friday, June 15, 2012

Why Germany wants to keep Greece in the euro area

Germany had a good crisis---this is how the commentator Satyajit Das, Roubini's fellow blogger and author of "Traders, Guns, and Money"---nicely puts it. Since the subprime crisis spilled over the Atlantic, Germany's output took a leap forward above pre-crisis levels, unemployment plummeted, the budget deficit vanished, and household net wealth grew to about EUR225,000 per household. Today, ECB's monetary policy gives an additional stimulus with interest rates at 1 percent whereas the Taylor rule suggests 4.5 percent would be more appropriate (compared to 2009 when ECB first dropped rates to that level). Recently, the euro started depreciating,...